Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.470465 0.517093 0.567819 0.627361 0.695663 0.771956 0.864167
2025-06-08 0.387346 0.450413 0.524583 0.619339 0.738783 0.886576 1.086889
2025-06-15 0.349424 0.422714 0.513842 0.637826 0.805938 1.031925 1.369728
2025-06-22 0.309804 0.385198 0.482682 0.621475 0.820169 1.104897 1.565461
2025-06-29 0.283975 0.361374 0.464855 0.618156 0.848558 1.198794 1.809867
2025-07-06 0.256452 0.332001 0.435564 0.593682 0.840459 1.233603 1.963600
2025-07-13 0.245887 0.324588 0.435599 0.611136 0.897629 1.380830 2.351120
2025-07-20 0.236422 0.317616 0.435154 0.627123 0.953918 1.536353 2.801662
2025-07-27 0.225845 0.307981 0.429562 0.633816 0.994789 1.671302 3.254486
2025-08-03 0.210632 0.290259 0.409985 0.615208 0.987843 1.712603 3.507555
2025-08-10 0.196539 0.273266 0.390194 0.594132 0.973310 1.735537 3.723498
2025-08-17 0.186306 0.261520 0.377806 0.584472 0.978820 1.801192 4.076629
2025-08-24 0.177084 0.251103 0.367312 0.578066 0.991743 1.890318 4.550580
2025-08-31 0.168435 0.241133 0.356945 0.571091 1.003129 1.980224 5.080082
2025-09-07 0.164838 0.238954 0.359310 0.587673 1.065786 2.209009 6.214797
2025-09-14 0.156157 0.227987 0.345915 0.573031 1.058963 2.260215 6.737298
2025-09-21 0.150125 0.221020 0.338927 0.570056 1.077637 2.384518 7.650294
2025-09-28 0.141560 0.209397 0.323050 0.548104 1.049833 2.372807 7.960184
2025-10-05 0.139428 0.208407 0.325865 0.563763 1.112446 2.640728 9.862404
2025-10-12 0.137190 0.207085 0.327949 0.578092 1.174375 2.928509 12.257791
2025-10-19 0.133911 0.203786 0.326169 0.584085 1.216414 3.167299 14.734357
2025-10-26 0.127837 0.195339 0.314329 0.567414 1.196895 3.187800 15.708861
2025-11-02 0.121839 0.186789 0.301880 0.548508 1.169192 3.172949 16.420443